spreg.GM_Endog_Error

class spreg.GM_Endog_Error(y, x, yend, q, w, vm=False, name_y=None, name_x=None, name_yend=None, name_q=None, name_w=None, name_ds=None)

GMM method for a spatial error model with endogenous variables, with results and diagnostics; based on Kelejian and Prucha (1998, 1999) [KP98] [KP99].

Parameters

yarray

nx1 array for dependent variable

xarray

Two dimensional array with n rows and one column for each independent (exogenous) variable, excluding the constant

yendarray

Two dimensional array with n rows and one column for each endogenous variable

qarray

Two dimensional array with n rows and one column for each external exogenous variable to use as instruments (note: this should not contain any variables from x)

wpysal W object

Spatial weights object (always needed)

vmboolean

If True, include variance-covariance matrix in summary results

name_ystring

Name of dependent variable for use in output

name_xlist of strings

Names of independent variables for use in output

name_yendlist of strings

Names of endogenous variables for use in output

name_qlist of strings

Names of instruments for use in output

name_wstring

Name of weights matrix for use in output

name_dsstring

Name of dataset for use in output

Examples

We first need to import the needed modules, namely numpy to convert the data we read into arrays that spreg understands and pysal to perform all the analysis.

>>> import libpysal
>>> import numpy as np

Open data on Columbus neighborhood crime (49 areas) using libpysal.io.open(). This is the DBF associated with the Columbus shapefile. Note that libpysal.io.open() also reads data in CSV format; since the actual class requires data to be passed in as numpy arrays, the user can read their data in using any method.

>>> dbf = libpysal.io.open(libpysal.examples.get_path("columbus.dbf"),'r')

Extract the CRIME column (crime rates) from the DBF file and make it the dependent variable for the regression. Note that PySAL requires this to be an numpy array of shape (n, 1) as opposed to the also common shape of (n, ) that other packages accept.

>>> y = np.array([dbf.by_col('CRIME')]).T

Extract INC (income) vector from the DBF to be used as independent variables in the regression. Note that PySAL requires this to be an nxj numpy array, where j is the number of independent variables (not including a constant). By default this model adds a vector of ones to the independent variables passed in.

>>> x = np.array([dbf.by_col('INC')]).T

In this case we consider HOVAL (home value) is an endogenous regressor. We tell the model that this is so by passing it in a different parameter from the exogenous variables (x).

>>> yend = np.array([dbf.by_col('HOVAL')]).T

Because we have endogenous variables, to obtain a correct estimate of the model, we need to instrument for HOVAL. We use DISCBD (distance to the CBD) for this and hence put it in the instruments parameter, ‘q’.

>>> q = np.array([dbf.by_col('DISCBD')]).T

Since we want to run a spatial error model, we need to specify the spatial weights matrix that includes the spatial configuration of the observations into the error component of the model. To do that, we can open an already existing gal file or create a new one. In this case, we will use columbus.gal, which contains contiguity relationships between the observations in the Columbus dataset we are using throughout this example. Note that, in order to read the file, not only to open it, we need to append ‘.read()’ at the end of the command.

>>> w = libpysal.io.open(libpysal.examples.get_path("columbus.gal"), 'r').read() 

Unless there is a good reason not to do it, the weights have to be row-standardized so every row of the matrix sums to one. Among other things, this allows to interpret the spatial lag of a variable as the average value of the neighboring observations. In PySAL, this can be easily performed in the following way:

>>> w.transform='r'

We are all set with the preliminars, we are good to run the model. In this case, we will need the variables (exogenous and endogenous), the instruments and the weights matrix. If we want to have the names of the variables printed in the output summary, we will have to pass them in as well, although this is optional.

>>> from spreg import GM_Endog_Error
>>> model = GM_Endog_Error(y, x, yend, q, w=w, name_x=['inc'], name_y='crime', name_yend=['hoval'], name_q=['discbd'], name_ds='columbus')

Once we have run the model, we can explore a little bit the output. The regression object we have created has many attributes so take your time to discover them. Note that because we are running the classical GMM error model from 1998/99, the spatial parameter is obtained as a point estimate, so although you get a value for it (there are for coefficients under model.betas), you cannot perform inference on it (there are only three values in model.se_betas). Also, this regression uses a two stage least squares estimation method that accounts for the endogeneity created by the endogenous variables included.

>>> print(model.name_z)
['CONSTANT', 'inc', 'hoval', 'lambda']
>>> np.around(model.betas, decimals=4)
array([[82.573 ],
       [ 0.581 ],
       [-1.4481],
       [ 0.3499]])
>>> np.around(model.std_err, decimals=4)
array([16.1381,  1.3545,  0.7862])

Attributes

summarystring

Summary of regression results and diagnostics (note: use in conjunction with the print command)

betasarray

kx1 array of estimated coefficients

uarray

nx1 array of residuals

e_filteredarray

nx1 array of spatially filtered residuals

predyarray

nx1 array of predicted y values

ninteger

Number of observations

kinteger

Number of variables for which coefficients are estimated (including the constant)

yarray

nx1 array for dependent variable

xarray

Two dimensional array with n rows and one column for each independent (exogenous) variable, including the constant

yendarray

Two dimensional array with n rows and one column for each endogenous variable

zarray

nxk array of variables (combination of x and yend)

mean_yfloat

Mean of dependent variable

std_yfloat

Standard deviation of dependent variable

vmarray

Variance covariance matrix (kxk)

pr2float

Pseudo R squared (squared correlation between y and ypred)

sig2float

Sigma squared used in computations

std_errarray

1xk array of standard errors of the betas

z_statlist of tuples

z statistic; each tuple contains the pair (statistic, p-value), where each is a float

name_ystring

Name of dependent variable for use in output

name_xlist of strings

Names of independent variables for use in output

name_yendlist of strings

Names of endogenous variables for use in output

name_zlist of strings

Names of exogenous and endogenous variables for use in output

name_qlist of strings

Names of external instruments

name_hlist of strings

Names of all instruments used in ouput

name_wstring

Name of weights matrix for use in output

name_dsstring

Name of dataset for use in output

titlestring

Name of the regression method used

__init__(y, x, yend, q, w, vm=False, name_y=None, name_x=None, name_yend=None, name_q=None, name_w=None, name_ds=None)

Initialize self. See help(type(self)) for accurate signature.

Methods

__init__(y, x, yend, q, w[, vm, name_y, …])

Initialize self.

Attributes

mean_y
std_y

property mean_y

property std_y